"The indictment is so divisive for the country that unless something so compelling and damning is bipartisan, I do not think we should go that route because it divides the country. it's not worth it ", Pelosi said The Washington Post last week
This comment, like Trump, struck Washington as shocking, but not surprising. It was in many ways a classic "Kinsley Gaffe"As columnist Michael Kinsley once called any blunder when a politician inadvertently told the truth, because his comment was obviously, presumably true." Even if the House could dismiss the president, his condemnation and dismissal by the Senate would require the cooperation of many Republicans.The political reality, as Pelosi's comments acknowledge, is that nothing so far at Trump has allowed the GOP to go to court. orient in this direction.
After all, the Republican party has clearly decided that the cash payments Trump led – a serious violation of campaign funding – is "not worth it".
The financing campaign of a plot to buy the rights stories of Stormy Daniels and Karen McDougal is far from being a reality. paperwork error that the GOP painted it to go directly to the legitimacy of the electoral system. Michael Cohen has already shown the world evidence that clearly shows the knowing of the president in this scheme while he was at the White House. The president would almost certainly have been indicted personally except that it is in functionwhich leaves a shadow on its ability to deal with lawsuits.
Similarly, the GOP has decided that crime surrounding the president is "not worth it." For them, the fact that the man who promised to hire "the best and the most serious"Instead proven or incompetent to the manager and manager that almost everyone around him has exploited it is not a cause for concern.
In appearance, at any other time, Mueller's presentation on greed and crime in the heart of the campaign would have been enough to cover the normal presidential administration. Because even though Mueller never shows Russia any connection to Trump, the special attorney and prosecutors in the Southern District of New York have already shown that Trump's bid for the 2016 presidential election was the most more criminal history of American politics. The cunning advance their own financial interests at the expense of the United States.
To summarize, the Campaign Chair and the Assistant Campaign Chair participated in a $ 65 million money laundering plan This defrauded the US government, banks and taxpayers while they were working on behalf of pro-Russian interests, a plot that continued throughout the campaign. Meanwhile, the national security advisor of the campaign was working As an unregistered foreign agent of the authoritarian government of Turkey, the president's long-standing counsel and counsel was also involved in his own banking and tax fraud for many years around taxi medals.
Such activity is not only criminal, it is a complete disregard for the normal course of politics, social norms and American values. It was a campaign full of people boasting sweet and hot apples on the trail while selling slices through back doors to foreign governments and telling the tax authorities that the pie plate was completely empty.
Finally, the GOP has clearly decided that the potential kompromat on the president "is not worth it", because, again, we know that Donald Trump, while campaigning for the president, was engaged in trade negotiations with the highest levels of the Russian government – and had then lied about it to the American people for two years. , lies that Russia clearly knew that they were wrong, leaving him exposed to risk of massive counterintelligence.
It is hard to believe that in normal times all these things would have been enough to make some members of the presidential party think, let alone the three.
At the same time, there is still the truth to the President unbalanced tweet storms: There is "NO COLLUSION", at least not yet.
None of Mueller's indictments, guilty pleas, or prosecutions have yet proven to be "collusive," which actually means a conspiracy against the United States, in which intelligence services , Kremlin-related Russian officials or businessmen cooperated with Trump campaigners to defeat Hillary Clinton in 2016. Suspicious activities have not been lacking so far: More than 100 contacts with Russia, The strange communications of Roger Stone with Wikileaks, The request of Jared Kushner secure Russian communication channelMichael Flynn & # 39; s strange conversations with the Russian Ambassador, and much more.
But Mueller has not connected any of these points yet, so everyone looks forward to the Mueller report, in any form whatsoever. Nancy Pelosi's comments last week seemed to speak out loud, which had already been incorporated into the political signature of the capital and into the calculation of the GOP: Of course, the president has been credibly accused of crimes, but none of them so far was as surprising or astonishing.
Mueller – or the southern district, or one of the other More than 18 investigations target the president – could radically alter the charge speech in Washington in at least three ways: (1) by highlighting clear evidence of a specific presidential crime, (2) a pattern of Provable obstruction, encompassing a firearm, or (3) demonstrable action company to engage US interests at the expense of achieving the goals of foreign power, including the active conspiracy with Russia in the 2016 campaign.
While the tweets of the president and his lawyer on television, Rudy Giuliani, continue to make noise, we have yet to see any of these scenarios unfold. But if Mueller or SDNY has one, it will make it very difficult to hold the GOP line.
For the first scenario, leaving aside the allegations of campaign funding, which the GOP seems to have decided and which are not pursued, does not seem inclined to go forward, but we have not seen specific evidence in the court filings of Donald Trump's irrefutable statements. personal involvement in specific crimes, either in his role as a businessman, candidate or president. If, however, there is clear, credible and documented evidence that the President allegedly committed perjury, lied to the Special Council or was guilty of any crime, it seems obvious that Congress would treat it very differently. , especially if she was framed Mueller, prosecutors or the Department of Justice indicate that they would normally recommend criminal charges. This is partly why the reaction to the bomb not quite clear Trump "ordered" Cohen to strike with such an impact: In a few hours, appeals for removal to Capitol Hill were fast approaching and it was only the unprecedented statement from Mueller's office that pulled the brakes.
As for the obstruction of justice, experts have tied in over the past two years wondering if the president could be accused of obstructing justice or if the FBI president had been sacked of the FBI director, if the president acted within the framework of his executive powers under Article II. And so on. This approach almost certainly defines the investigation of Mueller's obstruction too narrowly.
Mueller seems to have paved the way for a much broader pattern of obstruction, lies, actions and obfuscations where the shot of Comey is simply one of the many related incidents – potentially dozens – which extend over several years and leave no doubt about the president's intention to obstruct. This is potentially supported by documentary evidence such as notes, memos, e-mails or contemporary phone calls. Mueller expressed his interest in Statement of Air Force One drafted by the President, thereby downplaying the 2016 Trump Tower meeting, as well as Michael Cohen's eventual coordination with the White House for his false testimony before the Congress. A specific line of the special advocate's file in the Cohen case could indicate Mueller's whereabouts: "By publicly presenting this false story, the defendant deliberately shifted the timeline of what had happened in the hope of limiting investigations to possible interferences of Russia in the United States in 2016. Presidential election. "After all, this scenario of a president seeking to deceive the American public was part of the charges against Richard Nixon.
On the third point, we can still see evidence that the President has acted – or attempted – for the direct benefit of a foreign power against the express commitment of US interests, be it Russia or a Middle Eastern power. East, or that he has outright accepted Russian aid during the 2016 campaign. If such a plot exists and Mueller or other prosecutors are able to demonstrate that the president raises other nations before our own consulate with Vladimir Putin, it is hard to imagine that the political situation of Donald Trump does not quickly become unsustainable. Any allegation in this area would go to the heart of the issue of collusion with Russia and would be virtually impossible to ignore for the GOP.
Also, if they find evidence to support one of the above scenarios, Mueller or other investigators may find evidence of more than one scenario. In some ways, the most logical outcome could be that if there is evidence for one of them, they will be for all three as well. (For example, when there was collusion, the president then took action on behalf of a foreign government and then obstructed the investigation.)
Whatever the case may be, it is worth restoring the fact that, even though it is closing today, Mueller has found nothing. He has already discovered many serious crimes – crimes committed by the president and his help to the campaign and the White House, crimes against the US government, taxpayers, voters, Congress and the American public.
The only question is whether everything Mueller has left to show us, according to Washington 's estimate, "is worth it".
Garrett M. Graff (@vermontgmg) is a contributing publisher for Cable and co-author of the book Dawn of the war code: The US battle against Russia, China and the global cybermenace rising. It can be reached at email@example.com.
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